"A home-based
business will not work!"
You'll hear this from everyone—everyone,
that is, except successful entrepreneurs. What do your parents, your friends,
your church, your school, and everyone else you know tell you about working in
any way for yourself? Nobody can do it! That's what they say. They insist that
you have to work hard, get into a well-paying profession, stay with it for 40
years, and retire with a large pension. To make this work, one must begin a systematic
saving and investment program very early in life and stick with it until retirement.
What's
wrong with that picture?
When you first begin to work, retirement
isn't likely to be anywhere in your thought process. Many owe tremendous amounts
for college loans plus credit card debt; in an
article on the Bankrate.com Website, Lucy Lazarony says the average college
student owes $2,200 on credit cards and graduate students owe even more—$5,800.
Paying the minimum, it would take over 12 years to pay off $1,000; go figure how
long it will take to pay off larger balances. Add student loans, and the average
student owes a total of $20,402 according to Credit
Card Research Program; that's quite a lot of money for a beginning employee
to repay. The point is beginning employees aren't thinking of saving. They want
things like cars, boats, clothes, to get married, or to buy a home. And they still
have those student loans and an ever-increasing credit card debt to repay. There's
no money available to invest; not for many years...maybe not ever.
Now
what happens with the few young beginners who have the self-control to begin a
serious investment program? All investments carry risk; that's why they pay you
for making them. Many investment vehicles are available ranging from real estate,
mutual funds, stock market, all kinds of hedge funds, commodities, you name it.
Most people have decided on 401k plans, IRAs or mutual funds as being the safest
way to go; but even these fairly safe plans have been hit with scandals like Worldcom
and Enron and all the other accounting scams of the past few years. All these
things have caused the value of retirement funds to plunge and sometimes to disappear
entirely. You just can't depend on any one source for continuing wealth if you
aren't working.
"Well", you say, "if I become
a doctor or lawyer, I'll be self-employed and make a lot of money. I don't have
to worry about being an employee and be told what to do by others. I can keep
the money I make and I'll never have worries about money."
One
of the top financial institutions in the US (I don't want to call names, but I'm
very familiar with it) instructs all its agents and salesmen to not call on doctors,
lawyers, and other professional people. Why? They all have nice homes, new cars,
boats, and they are active in community life. They should be excellent prospects
for investments. But they aren't!
These professionals often
owe monstrous amounts of money for school and for those fine houses and cars and
boats. Dartmouth Medical School says 35% of new doctors owe at least $150,000.
They are expected to maintain a certain lifestyle and they will have children
who need to go to college. Do the math and you will see most doctors will be approaching
sixty when they begin to emerge from their mountain of debt. This is why the salesmen
are advised not to call on professionals; they often have absolutely no money
to invest!
This also means for most of their lives, doctors
and other professionals are not actually self-employed. They work for the host
of lenders who have furnished money, they work for the community that expects
a certain lifestyle, they work for the automobile and boat dealers who sold them
their toys, and they work for the colleges educating their children. They are
bound by their financial restraints so they aren't self-employed at all. They
work for all these other people. And what happens to this professional if she
has an accident that makes her unable to practice her profession? Unless she had
the foresight to buy disability insurance (which she probably didn't think she
could afford because of her other debts), she could be in big financial trouble.
It
is ironic that the same reasons why people should start a home-based business
are often given as the reasons why they can't (don't have time; don't have enough
money; don't really need to now). I am convinced that everyone should start a
home business as early in life as they can, which is right now. Regardless
of their personal situation, almost everyone needs a "Plan B"—a
diversified stream of income that doesn't put all their eggs in one basket.
Even
though people still have these same old excuses, there are new urgent reasons
why everyone should be getting their home business started whether online or off.
All these operations need time to begin bringing in money; you can't just kick-start
them and expect an automatic fountain of money.
What are these
new and urgent problems facing us all? You really need to pay attention!
1.
There is a frightening move toward employers dictating everything an employee
does at home or everywhere. The latest development of this issue is the smoking
ban initiated by the Michigan company Weyco. As a result of its firing of several
workers, the Los Angeles Times reports a Michigan legislator has introduced
"lifestyle legislation" banning an employer from firing people for legal
activities away from the workplace. Only a few states have such laws and the federal
law covers only race, religion, or gender. The lawmaker rightfully has addressed
the possibility of extension of this concept to many other areas like drinking
beer or clothing unacceptable to an employer. Other current high profile issues
could include weight control, social behavior, and political correctness in speech
or actions. Do you really believe anyone should be able to tell an employee how
to act in a legal way off the job? Disgusting!
2. September
11, 2001, has shown the spotlight on the possibility of a mass public illness
from some terrorist act that can make millions sick. This Homeland Security issue
is certainly a legitimate concern, but when you consider the flu vaccine shortage,
many people have also begun to be greatly concerned about workplace germ issues.
All the news media have addressed public concerns about communicating disease
among those around you. On NBCs Today Show, (February
16, 2005), Al Roker said employees coming to work sick has been estimated
to cost employers $159 billion a year! I totally agree people should stay home
if they are sick. BUT what about hourly workers? The NBC show says, for example,
flu usually lasts five or six days, but workers usually come back in less than
two days. No work, no pay; they starve to death. So what if employers start firing
employees who come in sick despite warnings? These guys have to eat. So even when
the employer gives paid sick leave to hourly people, will an employee be fired
if their employer thinks they used their sick leave more often than necessary?
Who can work when they're in constant fear of getting a bad cold and being forced
into a pay cut?
3. Offshoring of jobs to cheaper developing
countries has become a very serious issue for many workers. This has the ability
to affect any job that can be entirely done by telephone or computer: customer
service and most programming and Information Technology (IT) jobs are the most
recent victims. Public
Citizen reports there are no hard facts about the total number of US jobs
lost or to be lost, but they do give these data:
- Gartner Group says
10 percent of technology jobs will be offshore by this year, 2005.
- Gartner
also says 25 percent of traditional IT jobs will go by 2010.
- AT Kearney believes 500,000 (8%) of jobs in banking, brokerage, and insurance will be offshored by May, 2008.
Can you afford not to
hedge your bets and protect yourself against the possibility of this happening
to your Job? I don't think so.
4. Here come the robots and
computer-operated machines. A few years ago I observed firsthand the effects of
automation on the textile industry in the US. The hosiery knitting machines used
to be operated by one operator for every eight or ten machines and a mechanic
who looked after maybe twenty machines. Then came high speed electronic machines
where several hundred machines could be operated by one person at a control panel
and one mechanic could often repair a problem remotely from a computer console.
Changing patterns, formerly an extremely labor-intensive process, could now be
done in just a few minutes with a software program. The textile industry is nearly
extinct in the U.S. at this time.
The hosiery experience has
formed an image in my mind of very large buildings with thousands of machines
operated, at some point in the future, by maybe two or three people. So two or
three people will replace thousands of workers who will have no jobs as we know
them. In this factory, computers connected to robots will receive orders and transmit
them to the proper equipment for production; robots will then ship the products
to wherever they are required, no human hands involved.
Farfetched?
Look at some of the unbelievable things already in the works. Doctors are being
assisted
by surgical robots, Japanese are developing robots
to care for elderly people, and the Smithsonian Institution's National Museum
of American History has used a
robotic tour guide. Development has begun on a desktop
robot system capable of producing just about anything we use in our daily
lives and others are developing a
robot system that can build entire buildings. The list is limited only by
the imagination of technicians.
Whatever happens, jobs are
being eliminated worldwide, possibly including yours. The doctors and medical
technicians are already at risk as are accounts and tax preparers. Medical robots
along with tax return and accounting software will reduce demand for these skilled
workers. Stock brokers, legal research, and programming jobs are all either going
to developing countries or they will be replaced by Web
services or software that does their work; there could be much less demand
for any of these people.
These developing issues mean that
work as we know it is likely to cease or at least drastically change. In a few
years (we don't know how many or how few) there may be no office or manufacturing
jobs for people to use for income. We have seen that even service and professional
occupations are endangered; there is already a robot
vacuum cleaner available for home use. So what are people to do? How will
they pay for their needs?
There are some who say the U.S.
workforce will not be able to meet demand for workers in a few years; others
say there are plenty of workers. The facts are that the workforce probably isn't
declining, it is just growing at a very slow rate. Some say greater productivity
will cover the shortfall of employees. If the worker replacement ideas we've discussed
actually take place, most jobs will be eliminated and there won't be a need for
ANY workers. If automation doesn't do this and there is a greater demand for employees,
many say increased productivity will compensate for any shortfall. Either way
employees will lose. If there are no jobs, they will have no income; if productivity
is used to overcome a worker shortage, employees will become overworked and underpaid;
they will burn out and be useless. Not a good scenario either way; there really
is no upside.
In reality, none of these extremes is likely
to happen, at least not in the short run, but there probably will be increasing
job loss pressure in the workplace. The government will figure some way to keep
displaced workers from by starving offering a subsistence payment of some kind.
Would you like to just exist for most of your life without contributing anything
to society? Probably not.
Here's how to prepare for the negative
pressure that any of these employment developments might place on your future
income potential:
- Start a home-based business either using the Internet
or some other business not likely to be impacted by automation or offshoring.
You may have to try two or three things before finding the right one, so its best
to get into opportunities requiring a small investment. When you begin to succeed,
you can put money into a more costly program if your research comes up with a
winner.
- Constantly educate yourself and obtain as many new skills
as you can so you can participate in opportunities as they arise.
- Actively look for opportunities in emerging fields. If you like one and think you are qualified, seize the chance immediately before it vanishes.
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